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The tangled web 27/03/2011
4 Comments
 
Picture
Earlier this month, former secretary of state Colin Powell announced that he would be asking questions as to why the American intelligence agencies failed to inform him, before the invasion, that the testimonies of the major (and pretty much only) source of Iraqi eyewitness intelligence were unreliable. The US’ primary justification for invading Iraq in 2003 was the alleged presence of biochemical labs and WMD’s. The empirical “evidence” for this claim was provided by an Iraqi defector known as “Curveball” (real name Rafid Ahmed Alwan al-Janabi). Now, anno 2011, Curveball has admitted that he made everything up.
TEXT: Goos Hofstee
IMAGE: David Levene


That it was very unlikely that Saddam had any WMDs was clear long before the invasion. The fact that Curveball’s confession is another nail in the coffin of the legitimacy of the war is therefore not that interesting. Far more revealing about this episode is how it illustrates the systematic manufacturing of the case for war, by parts of the American Administration and Intelligence agencies.

While George Tenet (head of CIA  between 1997 and 2004) states he didn’t know that Curveball was unreliable until two years after the invasion, this is of course an outright lie. It might have been true that Powell was not personally briefed about Curveball’s unsuitability as witness, but it is completely impossible that both CIA and DIA were unaware of this. Both the German Intelligence (BND) and former foreign minister Joschka Fischer have already declared that they had passed on their own intel that proved Curveball’s unreliability to their American counterparts. Moreover, Tyler Drumheller, head of CIA Europe had also warned Tenet on several occasions that Curveball’s information should not be used.

In Intelligence circles it is unthinkable to rely on just one source, and cross-checking data is essential. It is also common knowledge that human intelligence coming from defectors is the least reliable sort. The CIA/DIA were very well aware of the fact that their data didn’t add up and that there would be no tangible evidence on which an invasion could be justified. And so they chose to construct this evidence by skilfully manipulating the material, exaggerating incriminating reports, and ignoring contradictory evidence like key data from UN weapon inspectors.

But Tenet is not the only one to blame. The fact that there was no reliable evidence that indicated that Saddam had WMDs had posed a serious problem for the Administration’s hawks that were pushing for war. Therefore, it is unlikely that the Intelligence services were the only ones involved. In view of the close ties between CIA, DIA and the Administration, it is almost certain that people like Cheney, Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld were aware of the set up. It is through the systematic cooperation of all these people that Congress and the Coalition partners were misled, not by the lies of a single Iraqi defector.

In response to Powell’s questions, those officials involved will no doubt claim they were tragically misled, that “with today’s knowledge” everything would have been different. The sad fact is however, that these people have no more knowledge today than they had on the eve of war in 2003. It wasn’t a matter of confusing evidence, a lack of knowledge, or of contradictory reports. On the contrary: the picture was pretty clear, and the facts were out in the open for everyone to see. The only question of course, was whether they were willing to look.

“Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive”
Sir Walter Scott.
 


Comments

Christiaan Wohle
27/03/2011 8:09pm

I must admit I'm quite annoyed by your attempt at misinformation, or your ignorance of the issues and their history.

History of UNSCOM Reports attest without doubt to the will to create dummy facilities to decieve inspectors, the continued refusal to interview scientists without coercion, concealment of chemical and biological deposits and more famously the attempts to buy them on the Black Market, the un-accounted for weaponry Irak was known (and admitted) to posses after the Kamal Hussein defection etc.

Now from your text, it seems to me you are unaware of what the power of the "inspectors" actually was: they were only allowed to inspect the facilities listed for inspection by the Iraqi authority itself, they DID NOT comb the countrysides or investigate about possible wearabouts of the facilities themselves. Thus all we had was Saddam Hussein's word, which we already knew wasn't worth anything considering his continued tearing-up, when it suited him, of ANY treaty he signed with other countries.

Let us also not forget that Libya, that at the time was going down the same path as Iraq, quickly complied to the treaties it already signed (finally) shortly after the US invasion of Irak. Discovery: things were much worse then anyone had expected! The Libyan stockpile of WMDs was boosted to a frightening extend, we now know, by WMDs bought on the Black Market in Pakistan! (the A.Q. Khan black market, now put out of commission)

Furthermore, Iraq had already done the 4 things after which a country can be considered to have lost its sovereignty and be invaded:
invade other countries (Persia/Iran, Koweit), commit Genocide (Kurdistan), use weapons of mass destruction (which were used against its own people and Iran)and harbour international terrorists.

It also seems you have not researched beyond politicians and popular newsoutlets about what was actually found in Iraq...let me enlighten you again: I advise you to read the book by Saddam Hussein's chief nuclear physicist Mahdi Obeidi, if you're actually interrested in how wrong you are about the WMDs. (who's confirmed job it was to run the weapons concealment program for the Bath Party).

Now finally, let me clear up a misunderstanding that seems implied in your text. It is indeed true that the US opted to scare the public into agreeing with an invasion rather then persuading (which is alot harder, especially if you dont know your history...which most people dont), but the debate between people who had any knowledge of the conflict was by no means limited to WMD's in its arguments. (and neither were the inner workings of the US and UK governments)

The picture indeed was clear enough to anyone willing to look, though clearly not in the way you used the expression for...I could go on for a long time, but I did enough to vent my anger at you ^^ Ciao

Reply
Goos Hofstee
19/04/2011 8:56pm

Dear Christiaan,
This seems indeed to be very much about venting your anger. I don’t think it’s necessary (or very chic, for that matter) to get all personal, so i won’t go into your rather inappropriate accusation that i am trying to “misinform” people.
While there certainly is more to the story than “there are no WMD’s” (and i am in fact, aware of those sources) my point in this piece was the fact that the administration did not deem it necessary to truly inform the general public. Also, if they not a single doubt about the existence of WMD’s on the scale they said there were, they would not publicly have to rely on the testimonies of one single man and a dodgy power point presentation. If there was such overwhelming evidence of the existence of these plants and weapons, as you point out there was, why would they not use it? Would it not have strengthened their case?
With respect to the debates that were going on behind closed doors, about the other reasons to go to war, i can only say that they should have been public. These other reasons to go to war were-in the minds of the politicians involved, and also according to many commentators around the world- valid. If they were indeed so valid, why do you think the Administration did not dare to put them up for public scrutiny? The general public does indeed not know it’s history and it might have been hard to persuade them, but we live in a democracy, and a downside of that is that the general public should actually have a say, uneducated or not. To go behind the backs of not only the general public but also of many within the Administration itself, is undemocratic, and to excuse this behaviour by saying that it is okay because these people are uneducated is simply patronizing and wrong.
At the same time, if the Administration themselves would have known their (own, military) history, they would have refrained from intervening in the first place, as they would have known what kind of war to expect and would not have fucked up so utterly, excusez-le-mot. The lack of planning, ignorance of the local customs and way of dealing, the ruthless de-baathification, the inadequate provision of basic functions like electricity for months after the invasion, the failure to protect civilians and cultural heritage, the total disregard of Phase 4 and their refusal to cooperate with NGOs and Iraqi organisations on the ground illustrates the enormity of the Administration’s ignorance. But that’s a whole other story.
The legitimacy of the war i referred to was meant as “public legitimacy”,. There were things to be said for the removal of Saddam, but the problem is that exactly because the administration did not explain these reasons properly, and there was no public vote of confidence, it did not enjoy public legitimacy. Because of this lack of legitimacy the whole war effort was tainted from the start.
I guess that our difference of opinion on this issue comes down to a fundamental difference of ideological disposition. I am not an interventionist, as i think you are. That is fine, and i respect your views. I only wish that next time, you could be a little bit more diplomatic in your expression of them. As my dear mother used to tell me: in journalism, as in life, one should always avoid getting nasty.

kind regards,
Goos Hofstee

Reply
Christiaan Wohle
24/04/2011 12:43am

Rest assured, I'm by no means the type to be controlled by my anger, even less so in writing. (where I have the time to weigh my words.

You say my words are somehow inapropriate, yet your article reeks of misinformation: hence my words are exacly as they should be. Skipping the fatuous nullify of your sense of "chic", if as you say you are aware of the sources I mentioned then technically your article falls in the propaganda definition. You, in such a case, purposefully and knowingly deformed the truth to the extent of allowing the denomination of lying. Which is the reason I do not believe you actually are aware of those sources (call me naive if you will)

furthermore, "the administration" was clear about the main reasons for the Iraq invasion. The rest of the job of informing the public lied, as always, with the media. Sadly mainstream media did not do it's job. Yet anyone slightly interrested who found it to be important enough to get off their lazy arses were able to get the information without much difficulty. Not to mention that many of the debates were on television.

And sorry to have to mention this again, as in my previous entry I already showed that all information in your article is inacurate or false: are you aware Iraq had violated all four conditions under international law that OBLIGATE countries to intervene? (as in only one of those is required for lawfull intervention on principle, and Iraq did all four and this several times). Seriously that you would write an article about this without having researched how the period between the first Bush and the second Bush went in Iraq amazes me.

Do I also have to remind you that going to war is not ever open to popular vote? Your rediculous idea that the government went behind the peoples back showsyour
ognorance in the political process. Politicians debated and decided using the laid out pathways, so you attempt at a moral point is utterly void of meaning.

As the rest of your comment is so obvious to counter and ridicule, I'll finish with this: if that is what your mother used to tell your, the moral reply would be that she should mind her own business. The role of journalism is the chalenge of authority, to strip away diplomatic White noise speech and lay bare truth! A journalist by definition is obligated by trade to have his fangs drawn, to name lies and deception by it's name, and not rely on the use of euphimism and such only to be better regarded, liked, or achieve the superficial titles such as politeness that you seem to cherish so, again, fatuously.

Reply
Victor Kuijpens (moderator)
24/04/2011 1:23pm

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