The tangled web 27/03/2011
Earlier this month, former secretary of state Colin Powell announced that he would be asking questions as to why the American intelligence agencies failed to inform him, before the invasion, that the testimonies of the major (and pretty much only) source of Iraqi eyewitness intelligence were unreliable. The US’ primary justification for invading Iraq in 2003 was the alleged presence of biochemical labs and WMD’s. The empirical “evidence” for this claim was provided by an Iraqi defector known as “Curveball” (real name Rafid Ahmed Alwan al-Janabi). Now, anno 2011, Curveball has admitted that he made everything up. TEXT: Goos Hofstee IMAGE: David Levene That it was very unlikely that Saddam had any WMDs was clear long before the invasion. The fact that Curveball’s confession is another nail in the coffin of the legitimacy of the war is therefore not that interesting. Far more revealing about this episode is how it illustrates the systematic manufacturing of the case for war, by parts of the American Administration and Intelligence agencies. While George Tenet (head of CIA between 1997 and 2004) states he didn’t know that Curveball was unreliable until two years after the invasion, this is of course an outright lie. It might have been true that Powell was not personally briefed about Curveball’s unsuitability as witness, but it is completely impossible that both CIA and DIA were unaware of this. Both the German Intelligence (BND) and former foreign minister Joschka Fischer have already declared that they had passed on their own intel that proved Curveball’s unreliability to their American counterparts. Moreover, Tyler Drumheller, head of CIA Europe had also warned Tenet on several occasions that Curveball’s information should not be used. In Intelligence circles it is unthinkable to rely on just one source, and cross-checking data is essential. It is also common knowledge that human intelligence coming from defectors is the least reliable sort. The CIA/DIA were very well aware of the fact that their data didn’t add up and that there would be no tangible evidence on which an invasion could be justified. And so they chose to construct this evidence by skilfully manipulating the material, exaggerating incriminating reports, and ignoring contradictory evidence like key data from UN weapon inspectors. But Tenet is not the only one to blame. The fact that there was no reliable evidence that indicated that Saddam had WMDs had posed a serious problem for the Administration’s hawks that were pushing for war. Therefore, it is unlikely that the Intelligence services were the only ones involved. In view of the close ties between CIA, DIA and the Administration, it is almost certain that people like Cheney, Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld were aware of the set up. It is through the systematic cooperation of all these people that Congress and the Coalition partners were misled, not by the lies of a single Iraqi defector. In response to Powell’s questions, those officials involved will no doubt claim they were tragically misled, that “with today’s knowledge” everything would have been different. The sad fact is however, that these people have no more knowledge today than they had on the eve of war in 2003. It wasn’t a matter of confusing evidence, a lack of knowledge, or of contradictory reports. On the contrary: the picture was pretty clear, and the facts were out in the open for everyone to see. The only question of course, was whether they were willing to look. “Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive” Sir Walter Scott. CommentsChristiaan Wohle 27/03/2011 8:09pm
I must admit I'm quite annoyed by your attempt at misinformation, or your ignorance of the issues and their history.
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Goos Hofstee 19/04/2011 8:56pm
Dear Christiaan,
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Christiaan Wohle 24/04/2011 12:43am
Rest assured, I'm by no means the type to be controlled by my anger, even less so in writing. (where I have the time to weigh my words.
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Victor Kuijpens (moderator) 24/04/2011 1:23pm
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